Speed Kills

When it comes to stealing bases, obviously, speed kills. The players who have the fastest average stolen base attempt times usually have the greatest amount of stolen bases. As you can see in the chart below, there is a negative relationship between average speed and total bases stolen. That means that as speed increases, or the slower the runner, the amount of stolen bases decreases. However, how does pure attempt speed impact the success of the base stealer? Clearly, faster players are going to attempt to steal more bases. However, if they are more frequently thrown out than slower, more strategic base stealers, then the value of their speed is much less. The mission here is to determine the value a player or prospect could find by increasing his stolen base attempt speed.

stolen bases a1  Continue reading Speed Kills


Two Different Teams, Two Different Timelines, One Great Trade

1404531585000-USATSI-7950167   <—>  addison_Russell-3

Athetics Receive: P – Jeff Smardzija and P – Jason Hammel 

Cubs Receive : SS – Addison Russell, OF – Billy McKinney, and P – Dan Straily

It is entirely possible that this is the lone big trade of the 2014 season. With so many teams vying for a playoff spot, due to the great parody this season and the additional wild card spot, it is unlikely that several more trades of significance will happen. However, the one that did occur while most of us were on our third brat and fourth PBR was the biggest firework of the night. The Cubs sent their top two starters, both with sub 3.00 ERAs to the Athletics for prospects and an MLB ready pitcher. This was a great move for both teams.

Continue reading Two Different Teams, Two Different Timelines, One Great Trade